Peter C. Earle
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Financial
How to Prove Economists Wrong About Tariffs: Never Do What You Threatened
On and shortly after Liberation Day, economists warned that tariffs would raise prices, snarl supply chains, and cut into economic…
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Financial
Gold’s Acceleration Reveals Vanishing Calm, Coming Change
Gold has crossed $4,000 per ounce just 200 days after it passed $3,000. What began as a slow march from…
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Financial
Housing’s Deep Freeze: Existing Home Sales at 25-Year Lows
The American housing market is no stranger to boom and bust cycles, but the current slowdown in existing home sales…
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Financial
Is Abandoning Quarterly Earnings Report Requirements a Good Idea?
President Donald Trump recently revived a proposal he first raised during his earlier time in office: eliminating the requirement for…
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Financial
Business Conditions Monthly July 2025
AIER’s Business Conditions Monthly indicators for July 2025 point to a reversal of last month’s momentum and a rebalancing across…
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Financial
Commercial Mortgage Delinquencies Now Surpass 2008 Financial Crisis Peak
In November 2024, US commercial mortgage delinquencies spiked to 10.4 percent, a level just below the 10.7 percent peak during…
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Financial
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Rises 0.21 Percent in August 2025
Peter C. Earle The AIER Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.21 percent to 296.7 in August 2025. Our proprietary inflation…
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Financial
Escape from New York, 2025 Millionaire Edition
For decades, New York City prided itself on being the financial capital of the world. It’s a place where money,…
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Financial
Money Isn’t a Measuring Stick — It’s a Messenger
Although conversations between economists are essential — sharpening our thinking, challenging assumptions, and refining concepts — it’s easy to forget…
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Financial
Economic Measurement and the Mirage of Exactness
In contentious political environments, economic data rarely stand as objective measures. They are transformed into talking points and wielded to…
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