Peter C. Earle
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Financial
Tariff Tension: Will US Shelves Be Empty By Late May?
After nearly a month under the Trump administration’s renewed tariff regime, signs of economic strain are beginning to surface across…
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Financial
Tariffs Instead of Taxes? A Back-of-Envelope Estimate
In an April 27 post on Truth Social, President Trump floated a politically ambitious idea: replacing federal income taxes —…
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Financial
Why Home Prices Are Cratering in Florida
Florida’s housing market has moved decisively from scorching-hot to increasingly fragile. After experiencing some of the nation’s steepest home price…
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Financial
Turning Treasury Securities into Century Bonds Is a Dead End
In times of rising debt and fiscal strain, unconventional ideas occasionally surface as ways to manage the US government’s borrowing…
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Financial
Business Conditions Monthly February 2025
In February 2025, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators painted a picture of a moderately slowing but still resilient US…
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Financial
Credit Markets on Edge as Tariff Pressure Builds
Credit markets are becoming increasingly vulnerable to fallout from the emerging trade war. While the media will continue to focus…
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Financial
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Climbs Slightly in March 2025
The Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.18 percent in March 2025, bringing the index to 292.9. The March increase brings…
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Financial
AIER’s Everyday Price Index Climbs Slightly in March 2024
The Everyday Price Index (EPI) rose 0.18 percent in March 2025, bringing the index to 292.9. The March increase brings…
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Financial
Unpacking the Assumptions Behind the Mar-a-Lago Accord
The high degree of focus on tariffs under the new Trump administration has led to a flurry of new analyses…
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Financial
Contra Bessent, Affordability Contributes to American Greatness
In a recent defense of proposed tariffs, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent declared that “access to cheap goods is not…
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